Bank of America: Oil Demand Growth to Hit Zero Within a Decade, EVs the Culprit

By 2030 oil demand could hit a peak and then enter decline, according to a new report.

For the next decade or so, oil demand should continue to grow, although at a slower and slower rate.  According to Bank of America Merrill Lynch, the annual increase in global oil consumption slows dramatically in the years ahead.  By 2024 demand growth halves, falling to just 0.6 million barrels per day (mb/d), down from 1.2 mb/d this year.

But by 2030, demand growth zeros out as consumption hits a permanent peak, before falling at a relatively rapid rate thereafter.  The main driver of the destruction in demand is the proliferation of electric vehicles.

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