Tuesday, December 19, 2017

Let It Go:  The Arctic Will Never Be Frozen Again

 Arctic saw 2nd warmest year, smallest winter sea ice coverage on record in 2017 (Credit: NOAA) Click to Enlarge.
Last week, at a New Orleans conference center that once doubled as a storm shelter for thousands during Hurricane Katrina, a group of polar scientists made a startling declaration:  The Arctic as we once knew it is no more.

The region is now definitively trending toward an ice-free state, the scientists said, with wide-ranging ramifications for ecosystems, national security, and the stability of the global climate system.  It was a fitting venue for an eye-opening reminder that, on its current path, civilization is engaged in an existential gamble with the planet’s life-support system.

In an accompanying annual report on the Arctic’s health — titled “Arctic shows no sign of returning to reliably frozen region of recent past decades” — the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which oversees all official U.S. research in the region, coined a term:  “New Arctic.”

Until roughly a decade or so ago, the region was holding up relatively well, despite warming at roughly twice the rate of the planet as a whole.  But in recent years, it’s undergone an abrupt change, which now defines it.  The Arctic is our glimpse of an Earth in flux, transforming into something that’s radically different from today.

At a press conference announcing the new assessment, acting NOAA Administrator Timothy Gallaudet emphasizes the “huge impact” these changes were having on everything from tourism to fisheries to worldwide weather patterns.

“What happens in the Arctic doesn’t stay in the Arctic — it affects the rest of the planet,” Gallaudet said.
That the Arctic is now a relic of a time gone by — the first major part of the planet on a countdown clock — should shock us.  It’s one of those facts that those of us who closely follow climate change knew was coming.  And with its arrival, it is devastating in its totality.

The loss of the Old Arctic is as close as humanity has come so far to irreversibly transforming its planet into something fundamentally different than what has given rise to civilization over the past 10,000 years.  This is a terrifying transition, and one worth mourning.  But it’s also a reminder that our path as individuals and as a society is not fixed.

Read more at Let It Go:  The Arctic Will Never Be Frozen Again

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