Wednesday, January 06, 2016

Latest Data Show Cooling Sun, Warming Earth

Lots of studies into the Sun-climate link have reported that recent changes in the heat output by the Sun are simply too small to explain much of the recent global warming.  Even 5 years ago it was clear that Earth's temperature isn't tracking solar activity very well.


Temperature vs Solar Activity (Credit: The temperature record is from NASA and the solar heat output arriving at the top of Earth's atmosphere, the "Total Solar Irradiance" comes from two sources. From 1978 we have satellite measurements, in this case from PMOD (data here). Before that, the heat output was not measured directly, but instead it has to be estimated from measurements of sunspots) Click to Enlarge.
And now including data up to 2015, that pattern is even clearer.  In each case the 2015 result is based on slightly incomplete data: up to end-November for temperature and mid-October for solar activity.  It shows that in the 5 years since we first published a version of the figure [at right] , Earth's surface has continued to warm despite declining solar activity.


Read more at Latest Data Show Cooling Sun, Warming Earth

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