Tuesday, October 07, 2014

The World Is Warming Faster than We Thought

Argo floats collect more accurate data  (Credit: Sabrina Speich/Argo Information Cent)  Click to enlarge.
It's worse than we thought. Scientists may have hugely underestimated the extent of global warming because temperature readings from southern hemisphere seas were inaccurate.

Comparisons of direct measurements with satellite data and climate models suggest that the oceans of the southern hemisphere have been sucking up more than twice as much of the heat trapped by our excess greenhouse gases than previously calculated.  This means we may have underestimated the extent to which our world has been warming.

Paul Durack from the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in California in the US and colleagues have compared direct and inferred sea temperature measurements with the results of climate models.  While these three types of measurements together suggest that our estimates of northern hemisphere ocean warming are about right, a different story emerged for down south.

The team estimate that the extent of warming in the southern hemisphere oceans since 1970 could be more than twice what has been inferred from the limited direct measurements we have for this region.  This means that together, all the world's oceans are absorbing between 24 and 58 per cent more energy than has previously been estimated by direct in-situ measurements.

Wenju Cai from the CSIRO in Melbourne, Australia says the results mean the world is warming faster than we thought.  "The implication is that the energy imbalance – the net heating of the earth – would have to be bigger," he says.

The World Is  Warming Faster than We Thought

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