Auto industry experts say the uncertainty would likely dampen the market for electric vehicles. Nine other states could lose their tougher rules, too.
President Donald Trump announced Wednesday that his administration would strip California of its authority to enact the nation's toughest auto pollution standards, setting the stage for an epic legal battle that could squelch the nascent U.S. market for petroleum-free vehicles at a critical time.
The long-anticipated move, which Trump touted on Twitter just days before a United Nations summit on climate change, could prove to be his administration's most consequential policy retreat from efforts to rein in greenhouse gas emissions. When coupled with the administration's planned freeze on fuel-economy improvements, it will negate one of the largest steps that any nation has made to cut carbon emissions.
California has led the nation in a slow, but steady move toward electric vehicles—a turnover that experts believe is essential for gaining control of rising U.S. carbon emissions from transportation. Nine other states have adopted its rules requiring automakers to sell a certain number of electric cars and trucks, based on each manufacturer's overall in-state sales.
But California and those other states could now lose the power to enforce those zero-emissions vehicle requirements—at least temporarily.
Auto industry experts and analysts expect the uncertainty that would create would dampen the market for zero-emissions vehicles.
Improvements in U.S. fuel economy so far have not been sufficient to curb carbon emissions from transportation, which grew 1.2 percent in 2017 even as the nation's overall carbon emissions fell 0.5 percent, according to the latest figures from the Environmental Protection Agency.
As long as more consumers are driving more miles each year, only electric and other zero-emissions vehicles can reverse the trend that has made transportation the largest source of U.S. greenhouse gas emissions.
"You can't get serious about climate change unless you get serious about vehicle emissions," California Gov. Gavin Newsom said Wednesday at a news conference in Sacramento. "This is such a pivotal moment in the climate change debate, not just for California, but for our leadership around the world. It is a legacy moment."
Newsom vowed to fight the Trump administration's move in court. "We will prevail," he said. "It may take years, more uncertainty and more anxiety."
In August, four automakers, comprising 30 percent of the market, struck a deal with California to voluntarily implement annual fuel economy improvements across their fleets if the federal rules were weakened.
Under that agreement, made in anticipation of Trump's action, Ford, Honda, BMW and Volkswagen would continue to improve gas mileage—although at a slower rate than under the Obama administration's rules. The deal, which served to isolate the Trump administration in its battle with California, reportedly enraged the president. And although California has continued talks with the remaining automakers, the Trump Justice Department has been using the threat of antitrust enforcement to dissuade automakers from cooperating with the state, Newsom said.
"The innovation genie is out of the bottle," the governor said. "Every single one of these companies knows where the country is going, and where the world is going ... and that's the elimination of the internal combustion engine."
Read more at Trump: We're Stripping California’s Right to Set Tougher Auto Standards
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