Saturday, October 07, 2017

Stark Evidence:  A Warmer World Is Sparking More and Bigger Wildfires

The increase in forest fires, seen this summer from North America to the Mediterranean to Siberia, is directly linked to climate change, scientists say.  And as the world continues to warm, there will be greater risk for fires on nearly every continent. 


Firefighters battle a wildfire near Mariposa, California. (Credit: Josh Edelson/AFP/Getty Images) Click to Enlarge.
On a single hot, dry day this summer, an astonishing 140 wildfires leapt to life across British Columbia.  “Friday, July 7 was just crazy,” says Mike Flannigan, director of the wildland fire partnership at the University of Alberta.  A state of emergency was declared.  By the end of summer, more than 1,000 fires had been triggered across the Canadian province, burning a record nearly 3 million acres of forest—nearly 10 times the average in British Columbia over the last decade.  As the fires got bigger and hotter, even aerial attacks became useless.   “It’s like spitting on a campfire,” says Flannigan.  “It doesn’t do much other than making a pretty picture for the newspapers.”

Forest fires are natural.  But the number and extent of the fires being seen today are not.  These fires are man-made, or at least man-worsened.

“Evidence is becoming more and more overwhelming,” says Flannigan, that climate change is spreading fires around the world.  Globally, the length of the fire weather season increased by nearly 19 percent between 1978 and 2013, thanks to longer seasons of warm, dry weather in one-quarter of the planet’s forests.  In the western United States, for example, the wildfire season has grown from five months in the 1970s to seven months today.

The number-crunching now shows an increased risk for fire on nearly every continent, says Flannigan, though most of the work has focused on North America, where there is a larger pot of funding for such research.  In the western U.S., where fires ravaged Oregon this summer, the annual burned area has, on average, gone from less than 250,000 acres in 1985 to more than 1.2 million acres in 2015; human-caused climate change has been blamed for doubling the total area burned over that time.

Similarly, for fire-ravaged British Columbia, an analysis from this July estimates that climate change has made extreme fire events in western Canada 1.5-6 times more likely.

Read more at Stark Evidence:  A Warmer World Is Sparking More and Bigger Wildfire s

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