Sunday, March 26, 2017

Why the World Economy Has to Be Carbon Free by 2050 - NYTimes Op Ed

In front of the financial district of Pudong amid heavy smog in Shanghai in 2015.In front of the financial district of Pudong amid heavy smog in Shanghai in 2015. (Credit: Aly Song/Reuters) Click to Enlarge.
Global warming is a scientific fact as much as the hole in the ozone layer or Earth’s orbit around the sun.  Global temperature records have been broken three years running.  Arctic Sea ice is declining rapidly.  Sea levels are rising.  For some societies, such as small island nations in the Pacific and Indian Oceans, environmental havoc is not a distant threat.  It has arrived.

To reduce the risk of a global environmental catastrophe, and to avoid reversing the course of human progress, the world must urgently bend the curve of global emissions away from fossil fuels.  Global warming must be kept below an increase of 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit); beyond that we will face major social and economic consequences.

The math to keep the increase below that critical level doesn’t get much simpler.  Emissions must peak no later than 2020, and we must reach a fossil-fuel-free world economy by 2050.   National pledges made for the Paris Climate Agreement fall short.  Indeed, the political landscape is dominated by governments willing to make only incremental progress:  two steps forward and one step back, or giant leaps back, in the case of the United States, where President Trump has threatened to retreat from international climate action and has proposed devastating cuts in funding for climate science and international collaboration. 
The vast divide between what is necessary and what politicians are willing to do leaves many scientists nervous that we could blow our last chance to reduce the grave risk to our environment and world stability.

Still, there are good reasons for cautious optimism.  Despite the halting progress made by politicians, history shows that the modern world has been shaped by major moments of disruption.  Think about the recent United States election, Brexit, the global financial crisis of 2008, and the rapid advances made in the technology sector in recent decades.

Read more at Why the World Economy Has to Be Carbon Free by 2050

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