Wednesday, January 21, 2015

‘It Is Profitable to Let the World Go to Hell’

Aurora borealis, Uttakleiv, Norway. A plan to solve climate problem if every Norwegian paid €250 (£191) in extra taxes every year for next generation or so, was not given the green light. (Credit: David Clapp/Getty Images) Click to Enlarge.
How depressed would you be if you had spent more than 40 years warning of an impending global catastrophe, only to be continually ignored even as you watch the disaster unfolding?

So spare a thought for Jørgen Randers, who back in 1972 co-authored the seminal work Limits to Growth (pdf), which highlighted the devastating impacts of exponential economic and population growth on a planet with finite resources.

As politicians and business leaders gather in Davos to look at ways to breathe new life into the global battle to address climate change, they would do well to listen to Randers’ sobering perspective.

The professor of climate strategy at the Norwegian Business School has been pretty close to giving up his struggle to wake us up to our unsustainable ways, and in 2004 published a pessimistic update of his 1972 report showing the predictions made at the time are turning out to be largely accurate.

What he cannot bear is how politicians of all persuasions have failed to act even as the scientific evidence of climate change mounts up, and as a result he has largely lost faith in the democratic process to handle complex issues.

In a newly published paper in the Swedish magazine Extrakt he writes: 
It is cost-effective to postpone global climate action.  It is profitable to let the world go to hell.

I believe that the tyranny of the short term will prevail over the decades to come.  As a result, a number of long-term problems will not be solved, even if they could have been, and even as they cause gradually increasing difficulties for all voters.
Randers says the reason for inaction is that there will be little observable benefit during the first 20 years of any fiscal sacrifice, even though tougher regulations and taxes will guarantee a better climate for our children and grandchildren.

Read more at ‘It Is Profitable to Let the World Go to Hell’

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