Friday, April 04, 2014

Earth Has a Fever, but the Heat Is Sloshing into the Oceans

To account for global warming, we have to include measurements of rising ocean temperatures. (Credit: Alamy) Click to enlarge.
It is clear the Earth is out of balance, in laypersons' terms, it has a "fever".  What isn't clear is how bad the fever is.  A new study by Dr. Matt Palmer and Dr. Doug McNeall moves us closer to answering this "fever" question.

According to one of the authors, Dr. Palmer, who spoke about the importance of ocean and satellite measurements of the Earth's "fever,"
"My view is the net radiation at top-of-atmosphere (TOA) energy flow is the most fundamental measure of global warming since it directly represents the accumulation of excess solar energy in the Earth system.  The lack of correlation between global surface temperature and TOA over ten years or so tells us that temperature trends are not a good indicator of how much energy is accumulating in the Earth system over the same period.  This means that the recently observed "pause" in surface warming may tell us nothing about longer-term global climate change.
Doug McNeall added,
"If you want to measure global warming on timescales of about a decade, measure the temperature of the oceans.  The deeper you measure, the more accurately you'll measure the warming."

Earth Has a Fever, but the Heat Is Sloshing into the Oceans

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