Tuesday, November 12, 2013

Shale’s Effect on Oil Supply Is Not Expected to Last

Click to enlarge. (Credit: EIA (hat tip: Gail Tverberg)
A report by the International Energy Agency predicts that so-called light tight oil will peak around 2020, then plateau.

The agency’s annual World Energy Outlook, released in London, said the world oil picture was being remade by oil from shale, known as light tight oil, along with new sources like Canadian oil sands, deepwater production off Brazil and the liquids that are produced with new supplies of natural gas.

“But, by the mid-2020s, non-OPEC production starts to fall back and countries from the Middle East provide most of the increase in global supply,” the report said.  A high market price for oil will help stimulate drilling for light tight oil, the report said, but the resource is finite, and the low-cost suppliers are in the Middle East.

Shale’s Effect on Oil Supply Is Not Expected to Last

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