A combined team of researchers from the U.S. and China has projected, using a climate simulation tool, that the Arctic will become September ice-free sometime during the years 2054 to 2058. Ice-free in this context refers to a time period during any given year—generally arriving in September after withstanding the heat of summer.
Mark Serreze, an expert on Arctic sea ice at the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colo., estimates the Arctic will experience ice-free conditions by 2030.
Researchers Project Ice-Free Arctic by 2058
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