Summarizing his earlier conclusions from an open access paper published in the journal Climactic Change, DeCicco first observes that:
- CO2 is always flowing in and out of the atmosphere, whether or not products of the biosphere are being used to supply fuel.
- The total amount of carbon in the world is fixed. Whether as food for biological processes, CO2 in the atmosphere, fuel for motor vehicles or in living biomass such as forests, wetlands and other carbon-rich ecosystems, carbon utilization occurs in a closed system.
In other words, using a biofuel (such as ethanol or biodiesel) instead of a fossil fuel (such as gasoline or diesel from petroleum) does not appreciably change the rate at which CO2 flows into the atmosphere, e.g., from vehicle tailpipes or jet engines.For biofuels to show a CO2 benefit, the net CO2 flow rate from the atmosphere to biosphere must be positive, DeCicco argues. If this condition is not met, biofuels cannot provide a climate mitigation benefit—i.e., biofuel use is not carbon neutral, and that’s before considering the extra emissions involved in growing the feedstock and processing it into fuel as well as considering the land-use change impacts.
Therefore, to reduce CO2 buildup in the atmosphere, the emissions from fuel combustion must be balanced by increasing NEP [Net Ecosystem Production], that is, speeding up how quickly the biosphere removes CO2 from the atmosphere.
—John DeCicco
Read more at Proper Carbon Accounting for Biofuels
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